SEMINARIESCHEMA FÖR MATEMATISK STATISTIK Fredag 29/9 15.15 Isaac Meilijson, 1996 School of Mathematical Sciences, Raymond and Beverly Sackler Faculty of Exact Sciences, Tel Aviv University A Hidden Markov Model for neuronal firing while concentrating on a task Abstract: Hidden Markov models were introduced in the late sixties by Baum, Petri and others as models for imperfectly observed Markov chains. These models were generalised in the late eighties to Influence Diagrams by Lauritzen, Spiegelhalter and others, as models for diagnostic Bayesian updatings of distributions of random variables that may signify in medical applications diseases and results of laboratory tests, but apply more generally to any other setup involving the probabilistic updating of many random factors that are selectively observed. These models belong to the general statistical framework of Incomplete Data models, as formali\-zed in the seventies by Dempster, Laird and Rubin, and its techniques are versions, applications or modifications of the EM algorithm. The talk will be devoted to an illustration of the hidden Markov model to an attempt at statistically detecting ``mental states'', or sequences of hidden quasi stationary states, in the cortical activity of a monkey that concentrates on remembering the correct action (out of four possibilities) to pursue later, when given a command. This work is based on measurements performed by a team of biologists at the Computational Neurobiology Laboratory at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, under the direction of Moshe Abeles, with whom the speaker co-supervised Eyal Seidemann in the performance of this analysis. Lokal: Rum 227 i Mattehuset. Björn Holmquist 046-2228546