Anders Sjögren, Chalmers Weighted Analysis of Microarray Experiments Abstract The nature of data from DNA microarray experiments brings interesting statistical challenges. Typically, the expressions of thousands of genes are measured simultaneously in a relatively small number of biological samples and one test is performed for each gene, e.g. to identify genes with different expression under different conditions. An important challenge is then to use the structure of the data to improve the performance of the individual tests. Previously, the vast number of measured genes have been utilised to identify a prior distribution for the variance of each gene, in effect moderating the individual variance estimates. In [1] and [2] we complement this by suggesting that data from different arrays may have different variability, e.g. due to random deviations in quality from some of the measurement steps. Furthermore, data from arrays may be correlated, e.g. due to similarities in the quality deviations. The result is a generalised linear model with common covariance structure for the different genes and a prior distribution for gene-wise variance scales, giving rise to weighted moderated F-tests. Estimation of the covariance structure is feasible under certain conditions and the estimate is then precise thanks to the large number of genes. Results on real data indicate that correlations often exist between arrays and that inference results from procedures not taking this into account may be biased. In particular, resample based simulations show that the distribution of p-values under the null hypothesis often deviate strongly from the expected uniform, which is largely corrected in the proposed model. In case of a large number of strongly differentially expressed genes, the proposed method will give conservative p-values. Therefore, trusting microarray p-values seems questionable at the current state of the art. Similar resample based simulations with real noise and synthetic signal indicate that the ranking according to the novel method is more powerful than the studied alternatives. References: [1] Erik Kristiansson*, Anders Sjögren*, Mats Rudemo, and Olle Nerman (2005) Weighted Analysis of Paired Microarray Experiments, Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology: 4(1), Article 30. [2] Erik Kristiansson , Anders Sjögren, Mats Rudemo, and Olle Nerman (2006) Quality Influenced Analysis of General Paired Microarray Experiments, Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology: 5(1), Article 10.