Matstat seminarium fredagen 16 november 2001 i MH:227 Conjectures on decay rates of tail probabilities in generalized Jackson and batch movement networks Masakiyo Miyazawa Science University of Tokyo Asymptotic decay rates are considered for the stationary joint distributions of customer populations in a generalized Jackson network and a batch movement network. We first define an asymptotic decay rate for a multi-dimensional distribution concerning a tail set and a direction to decrease. Then, for the stationary joint distributions of customer populations, the decay rates are conjectured to be obtained through max-min linear optimizations with convex constrains. The existence results are shown to be consistent with those conjectures. Some examples are considered to see how the decay rates are changed according to modeling parameters and the direction to decrease.