Seminarium i matematisk statistik fredagen den 13 oktober 13.15 i MH227 Georg Lindgren, Matematisk statistik, Lunds universitet The Rayleigh hypothesis for wave amplitudes and the Lévy-Cramér characterization of the Gaussian distribution ABSTRACT The distribution of cycle amplitude, i.e. the vertical distance between a local maximum and the following local minimum, in a continuous stochastic process is an important quantity in many engineering fields. If the process is Gaussian a common belief is that the amplitude has a Rayleigh distribution; and in fact, as the spectral width of the process tends to zero, it becomes asymptotically Rayleigh. It has been known since long that if the cycle mean and the cycle amplitude are stochastically independent and the expected number of upcrossings follows Rice's formula, then in fact the amplitude must be Rayleigh. It has also been known, almost as long, that the independence assumption is wrong. The aim of this note is to present a proof given by Bertram Broberg (1961) of the Rayleigh implication by means of the Lévy-Cramér characterization of the normal distribution, and to illustrate the true dependence structure for three different Gaussian processes. For a low-frequency white noise process cycle mean is virtually independent of amplitude, while for realistic ocean spectra there is a considerable dependence. The problem was the origin of my interest in random waves in the sixties and could be of some historical interest – it is also a nice example of the Lévy-Cramér characterization: if the sum of two independent random variables has a normal distribution, then the terms are themselves normal. (Olav Kallenberg, previous lecturer in Lund, proved the counterpart for the Poisson distribution.)