Evaluation of stochstic models of parallel road tracks

Klas Bogsjö

Centre for Mathematical Sciences
Mathematical Statistics
Lund Institute of Technology,
Lund University,

ISSN 1403-9338
In road roughness literature different stochastic models of parallel road tracks are suggested. A new method is proposed to evaluate their accuracy, by comparison of measured parallel tracks and
synthetic parallel tracks, realized from a stochastic model. A model is judged accurate if synthetic and measured roads induce a similar amount of fatigue damage to a vehicle. A lack-of-fit measure is assigned to the evaluated models, facilitating quick and simple comparison. The uncertainty of the vehicle fatigue indicated for the measured profile is considered in the definition of the lack-of-fit measure. A bootstrap technique is applied to estimate the uncertainty.